Catalog of Lunar Eclipse Saros Series

Saros Series 48

The periodicity and recurrence of lunar (and solar) eclipses is governed by the Saros cycle, a period of approximately 6,585.3 days (18 years 11 days 8 hours). When two eclipses are separated by a period of one Saros, they share a very similar geometry. The two eclipses occur at the same node[1] with the Moon at nearly the same distance from Earth and at the same time of year. Thus, the Saros is useful for organizing eclipses into families or series. Each series typically lasts 12 to 15 centuries and contains 70 or more lunar eclipses.

Lunar eclipses of Saros 48 all occur at the Moon’s ascending node and the Moon moves southward with each eclipse. The series began with a penumbral eclipse near the northern edge of the penumbra on -1228 Jul 21. The series ended with a penumbral eclipse near the southern edge of the penumbra on 0106 Sep 30. The total duration of Saros series 48 is 1334.23 years. In summary:

                      First Eclipse = -1228 Jul 21   11:53:49 TD
                       Last Eclipse =  0106 Sep 30   20:29:48 TD

                      Duration of Saros  48  =  1334.23 Years

Saros 48 is composed of 75 lunar eclipses as follows:

Lunar Eclipses of Saros 48
Eclipse Type Symbol Number Percent
All Eclipses - 75100.0%
PenumbralN 31 41.3%
PartialP 15 20.0%
TotalT 29 38.7%

The 75 lunar eclipses in Saros 48 occur in the order of 21N 8P 29T 7P 10N which corresponds to:

                                    21  Penumbral
                                     8  Partial
                                    29  Total
                                     7  Partial
                                    10  Penumbral

The longest and shortest eclipses of Saros 48 are as follows.

            Longest  Total  Lunar Eclipse:   -0597 Aug 04      Duration = 01h39m39s
           Shortest  Total  Lunar Eclipse:   -0200 Mar 30      Duration = 00h06m35s

            Longest Partial Lunar Eclipse:   -0723 May 20      Duration = 03h08m37s
           Shortest Partial Lunar Eclipse:   -0849 Mar 06      Duration = 00h57m46s

          Longest Penumbral Lunar Eclipse:   -0867 Feb 23      Duration = 04h17m53s
         Shortest Penumbral Lunar Eclipse:    0106 Sep 30      Duration = 00h56m34s

The largest and smallest magnitude partial eclipses of Saros 48 are:

            Largest Partial Lunar Eclipse:   -0723 May 20      Magnitude = 0.9501
           Smallest Partial Lunar Eclipse:   -0849 Mar 06      Magnitude = 0.0648

Local circumstances at greatest eclipse[2] for every lunar eclipse of Saros 48 are presented in the following catalog. For eclipses occurring between the years -1999 to +3000 (2000 BCE to 3000 CE), the sequence number in the first column links to a eclipse geometry diagram and a map from Five Millennium Canon of Lunar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000. A detailed key and additional information about the catalog can be found at: Key to Catalog of Lunar Eclipse Saros Series.



Catalog of Lunar Eclipses in Saros 48

                          TD of                                                          Phase
Seq. Rel.    Calendar   Greatest          Luna  Ecl.               Pen.    Um.    ---- Durations ---- 
Num. Num.      Date      Eclipse     ΔT    Num  Type QSE  Gamma    Mag.    Mag.    Pen.   Par.  Total
                                      s                                              m      m      m

 01  -35  -1228 Jul 21  11:53:49  29567 -39919   N   t-   1.5223  0.0946 -0.9647   93.3    -      -  
 02  -34  -1210 Aug 01  18:50:11  29218 -39696   N   t-   1.4570  0.2148 -0.8452  138.7    -      -  
 03  -33  -1192 Aug 12  01:58:12  28871 -39473   N   t-   1.3996  0.3203 -0.7403  167.3    -      -  
 04  -32  -1174 Aug 23  09:15:59  28526 -39250   N   t-   1.3489  0.4137 -0.6476  188.1    -      -  
 05  -31  -1156 Sep 02  16:44:22  28183 -39027   N   t-   1.3056  0.4934 -0.5685  203.3    -      -  
 06  -30  -1138 Sep 14  00:23:31  27842 -38804   N   h-   1.2701  0.5589 -0.5036  214.5    -      -  
 07  -29  -1120 Sep 24  08:13:09  27503 -38581   N   h-   1.2424  0.6098 -0.4529  222.4    -      -  
 08  -28  -1102 Oct 05  16:12:20  27167 -38358   N   h-   1.2212  0.6486 -0.4139  227.8    -      -  
 09  -27  -1084 Oct 16  00:18:41  26832 -38135   N   a-   1.2051  0.6780 -0.3840  231.6    -      -  
 10  -26  -1066 Oct 27  08:33:07  26500 -37912   N   a-   1.1946  0.6967 -0.3642  233.6    -      -  

 11  -25  -1048 Nov 06  16:52:30  26169 -37689   N   a-   1.1874  0.7089 -0.3502  234.6    -      -  
 12  -24  -1030 Nov 18  01:15:57  25841 -37466   N   a-   1.1827  0.7163 -0.3404  234.8    -      -  
 13  -23  -1012 Nov 28  09:40:43  25514 -37243   N   a-   1.1785  0.7225 -0.3310  234.8    -      -  
 14  -22  -0994 Dec 09  18:06:28  25190 -37020   N   a-   1.1741  0.7287 -0.3211  234.8    -      -  
 15  -21  -0976 Dec 20  02:30:03  24868 -36797   N   a-   1.1672  0.7391 -0.3063  235.2    -      -  
 16  -20  -0958 Dec 31  10:50:16  24548 -36574   N   a-   1.1568  0.7556 -0.2847  236.5    -      -  
 17  -19  -0939 Jan 10  19:05:57  24230 -36351   N   a-   1.1420  0.7799 -0.2548  238.6    -      -  
 18  -18  -0921 Jan 22  03:16:17  23914 -36128   N   a-   1.1225  0.8128 -0.2160  241.7    -      -  
 19  -17  -0903 Feb 01  11:18:55  23600 -35905   N   a-   1.0957  0.8587 -0.1637  246.1    -      -  
 20  -16  -0885 Feb 12  19:14:49  23288 -35682   N   a-   1.0626  0.9162 -0.0998  251.6    -      -  

 21  -15  -0867 Feb 23  03:02:59  22978 -35459   N   a-   1.0225  0.9865 -0.0229  257.9    -      -  
 22  -14  -0849 Mar 06  10:44:51  22671 -35236   P   a-   0.9764  1.0677  0.0648  264.7   57.8    -  
 23  -13  -0831 Mar 16  18:17:58  22365 -35013   P   a-   0.9223  1.1638  0.1673  272.2   91.2    -  
 24  -12  -0813 Mar 28  01:46:36  22062 -34790   P   a-   0.8636  1.2684  0.2779  279.6  115.3    -  
 25  -11  -0795 Apr 07  09:08:25  21760 -34567   P   a-   0.7981  1.3858  0.4010  287.0  135.6    -  
 26  -10  -0777 Apr 18  16:27:38  21461 -34344   P   a-   0.7297  1.5088  0.5292  293.8  152.3    -  
 27  -09  -0759 Apr 28  23:41:43  21163 -34121   P   a-   0.6559  1.6418  0.6669  300.3  166.8    -  
 28  -08  -0741 May 10  06:56:05  20868 -33898   P   a-   0.5813  1.7766  0.8059  305.9  178.6    -  
 29  -07  -0723 May 20  14:08:12  20575 -33675   P   a-   0.5036  1.9174  0.9501  310.8  188.6    -  
 30  -06  -0705 May 31  21:21:59  20284 -33452   T   a-   0.4264  2.0575  1.0932  314.7  196.5   45.3

 31  -05  -0687 Jun 11  04:36:57  19995 -33229   T   a-   0.3493  2.1979  1.2358  317.9  202.8   68.8
 32  -04  -0669 Jun 22  11:56:15  19708 -33006   T   p-   0.2749  2.3336  1.3731  320.1  207.3   82.3
 33  -03  -0651 Jul 02  19:19:41  19423 -32783   T+  p-   0.2033  2.4646  1.5050  321.5  210.4   90.9
 34  -02  -0633 Jul 14  02:48:38  19140 -32560   T+  p-   0.1356  2.5886  1.6295  322.3  212.3   96.1
 35  -01  -0615 Jul 24  10:24:22  18859 -32337   T+  pp   0.0730  2.7035  1.7443  322.5  213.2   98.8
 36   00  -0597 Aug 04  18:07:23  18581 -32114   T+  pp   0.0158  2.8088  1.8489  322.2  213.3   99.7
 37   01  -0579 Aug 15  01:58:11  18304 -31891   T-  pp  -0.0351  2.7738  1.8129  321.7  212.7   99.2
 38   02  -0561 Aug 26  09:57:21  18030 -31668   T-  pp  -0.0794  2.6932  1.7310  320.9  211.8   97.9
 39   03  -0543 Sep 05  18:05:26  17757 -31445   T-  -p  -0.1167  2.6255  1.6618  320.1  210.7   96.0
 40   04  -0525 Sep 17  02:22:22  17487 -31222   T-  -p  -0.1470  2.5709  1.6054  319.3  209.5   94.0


Catalog of Lunar Eclipses in Saros 48

                          TD of                                                          Phase
Seq. Rel.    Calendar   Greatest          Luna  Ecl.               Pen.    Um.    ---- Durations ---- 
Num. Num.      Date      Eclipse     ΔT    Num  Type QSE  Gamma    Mag.    Mag.    Pen.   Par.  Total
                                      s                                              m      m      m

 41   05  -0507 Sep 27  10:46:53  17218 -30999   T-  -p  -0.1713  2.5271  1.5600  318.5  208.4   92.0
 42   06  -0489 Oct 08  19:20:03  16916 -30776   T-  -p  -0.1886  2.4960  1.5274  317.9  207.5   90.4
 43   07  -0471 Oct 19  03:59:38  16602 -30553   T-  -p  -0.2008  2.4744  1.5045  317.4  206.8   89.1
 44   08  -0453 Oct 30  12:45:41  16297 -30330   T-  -p  -0.2080  2.4617  1.4907  317.1  206.3   88.3
 45   09  -0435 Nov 09  21:34:46  16000 -30107   T-  -p  -0.2130  2.4528  1.4811  316.8  205.9   87.7
 46   10  -0417 Nov 21  06:28:03  15711 -29884   T-  -p  -0.2146  2.4501  1.4781  316.6  205.8   87.5
 47   11  -0399 Dec 01  15:21:58  15430 -29661   T-  -p  -0.2157  2.4479  1.4761  316.5  205.7   87.3
 48   12  -0381 Dec 13  00:15:56  15155 -29438   T-  -p  -0.2169  2.4455  1.4744  316.4  205.6   87.2
 49   13  -0363 Dec 23  09:07:05  14887 -29215   T-  -p  -0.2203  2.4387  1.4686  316.2  205.5   86.9
 50   14  -0344 Jan 03  17:55:10  14626 -28992   T-  -p  -0.2263  2.4269  1.4583  315.9  205.3   86.4

 51   15  -0326 Jan 14  02:37:53  14370 -28769   T-  -p  -0.2367  2.4070  1.4401  315.5  204.9   85.3
 52   16  -0308 Jan 25  11:14:05  14121 -28546   T-  -p  -0.2521  2.3776  1.4127  314.9  204.3   83.5
 53   17  -0290 Feb 04  19:43:14  13876 -28323   T   -p  -0.2734  2.3375  1.3747  314.2  203.3   80.8
 54   18  -0272 Feb 16  04:04:45  13637 -28100   T   -p  -0.3007  2.2863  1.3257  313.2  201.9   76.8
 55   19  -0254 Feb 26  12:17:26  13403 -27877   T   -p  -0.3354  2.2216  1.2631  311.8  199.8   70.6
 56   20  -0236 Mar 08  20:21:46  13174 -27654   T   -p  -0.3769  2.1444  1.1878  309.9  196.9   61.2
 57   21  -0218 Mar 20  04:17:50  12949 -27431   T   -a  -0.4251  2.0552  1.1002  307.5  193.0   46.0
 58   22  -0200 Mar 30  12:06:45  12729 -27208   T   -a  -0.4790  1.9556  1.0019  304.4  187.8    6.6
 59   23  -0182 Apr 10  19:46:59  12513 -26985   P   -a  -0.5400  1.8434  0.8905  300.4  180.9    -  
 60   24  -0164 Apr 21  03:22:03  12301 -26762   P   -a  -0.6049  1.7240  0.7715  295.5  172.2    -  

 61   25  -0146 May 02  10:50:40  12093 -26539   P   -a  -0.6751  1.5953  0.6425  289.4  160.8    -  
 62   26  -0128 May 12  18:16:06  11889 -26316   P   -a  -0.7474  1.4632  0.5095  282.3  146.5    -  
 63   27  -0110 May 24  01:36:16  11688 -26093   P   -a  -0.8234  1.3244  0.3692  273.7  127.6    -  
 64   28  -0092 Jun 03  08:55:57  11491 -25870   P   -a  -0.8993  1.1864  0.2290  263.9  102.8    -  
 65   29  -0074 Jun 14  16:13:31  11297 -25647   P   -a  -0.9763  1.0465  0.0862  252.5   64.5    -  
 66   30  -0056 Jun 24  23:31:52  11106 -25424   N   -a  -1.0518  0.9096 -0.0541  239.6    -      -  
 67   31  -0038 Jul 06  06:51:17  10918 -25201   N   -a  -1.1257  0.7762 -0.1916  225.3    -      -  
 68   32  -0020 Jul 16  14:14:06  10732 -24978   N   -a  -1.1958  0.6497 -0.3226  209.5    -      -  
 69   33  -0002 Jul 27  21:41:06  10549 -24755   N   -a  -1.2618  0.5313 -0.4462  192.5    -      -  
 70   34   0016 Aug 07  05:12:17  10367 -24532   N   -a  -1.3235  0.4207 -0.5622  173.8    -      -  

 71   35   0034 Aug 18  12:50:05  10188 -24309   N   -a  -1.3791  0.3217 -0.6671  154.1    -      -  
 72   36   0052 Aug 28  20:33:55  10011 -24086   N   -a  -1.4292  0.2328 -0.7621  132.7    -      -  
 73   37   0070 Sep 09  04:25:28   9835 -23863   N   -a  -1.4723  0.1570 -0.8441  110.2    -      -  
 74   38   0088 Sep 19  12:23:25   9661 -23640   N   -a  -1.5096  0.0917 -0.9156   85.1    -      -  
 75   39   0106 Sep 30  20:29:48   9488 -23417   N   -a  -1.5395  0.0398 -0.9737   56.6    -      -  


Footnotes

[1] The Moon's orbit is inclined about 5 degrees to Earth's orbit around the Sun. The points where the lunar orbit intersects the plane of Earth's orbit are known as the nodes. The Moon moves from south to north of Earth's orbit at the ascending node, and from north to south at the descending node.

[2]Greatest eclipse is defined as the instant when Moon passes closest to the axis of Earth's shadow.


Calendar

The Gregorian calendar is used for all dates from 1582 Oct 15 onwards. Before that date, the Julian calendar is used. For more information on this topic, see Calendar Dates. The Julian calendar does not include the year 0. Thus the year 1 BCE is followed by the year 1 CE (See: BCE/CE Dating Conventions ). This is awkward for arithmetic calculations. Years in this catalog are numbered astronomically and include the year 0. Historians should note there is a difference of one year between astronomical dates and BCE dates. Thus, the astronomical year 0 corresponds to 1 BCE, and astronomical year -1 corresponds to 2 BCE, etc..


Predictions

The coordinates of the Sun used in these predictions are based on the VSOP87 theory [Bretagnon and Francou, 1988]. The Moon's coordinates are based on the ELP-2000/82 theory [Chapront-Touze and Chapront, 1983]. For more information, see: Solar and Lunar Ephemerides. The revised value used for the Moon's secular acceleration is n-dot = -25.858 arc-sec/cy*cy, as deduced from the Apollo lunar laser ranging experiment (Chapront, Chapront-Touze, and Francou, 2002).

The largest uncertainty in the eclipse predictions is caused by fluctuations in Earth's rotation due primarily to tidal friction of the Moon. The resultant drift in apparent clock time is expressed as ΔT and is determined as follows:

  1. pre-1950's: ΔT calculated from empirical fits to historical records derived by Morrison and Stephenson (2004)
  2. 1955-present: ΔT obtained from published observations
  3. future: ΔT is extrapolated from current values weighted by the long term trend from tidal effects

A series of polynomial expressions have been derived to simplify the evaluation of ΔT for any time from -1999 to +3000. The uncertainty in ΔT over this period can be estimated from scatter in the measurements.


Acknowledgments

The Besselian elements used in the predictions were kindly provided by Jean Meeus. All eclipse calculations are by Fred Espenak, and he assumes full responsibility for their accuracy. Some of the information presented on this web site is based on data originally published in Five Millennium Canon of Lunar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000 and Five Millennium Catalog of Lunar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000.

Permission is freely granted to reproduce this data when accompanied by an acknowledgment:

"Eclipse Predictions by Fred Espenak and Jean Meeus (NASA's GSFC)"


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2009 Sep 29